Dear Thom and all, > For those who haven't read our paper and to correct impressions > Sebastian may have left by his comment, we did not claim, predict or > even hazard a guess, when the outburst might end. We determined > only a probable start date of the eruption based on our data which > we compared with a start date predicted by independent spectroscopic > means; the two dates were in good qualitative agreement. > > We also stated very clearly that the future behavior of the star > could not be predicted based on its past behavior, and we made no > such predictions. Sorry for any confussion I could have caused and my rish in telling that the conclussions were "totally" wrong. Actually most of them still holds and as we could see from Galileo's data, a 71 days lull was apparent again recently. What I meant is that the "long-term maximum" mentioned in our paper ended up not being the real maximum. There seems to have been a more rapid than expected drop of brightness followed by a total recovery of the lightcurve which now follows its way up. Watching delta Sco at 1.6 is so exciting that I can even handle my own tongue (or fingers in this case...) Apologies, Sebastian.
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