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[vsnet-chat 6561] Errors and ...well, errors



Respectfully, my problem with Sebastian reporting visual estimates to 0.01V
has always been with the uncertainties of the comparison stars used to make
the estimates. Very few photometrists would claim this degree of accuracy,
even under ideal conditions.

Naked eye or binocular observations from a balcony within city limits
certainly do not qualify as ideal conditions. Now mix in direct vision,
averted vision, color of comp stars according to imperfect datasets, weather
and observer physical variables, and you have a real bitches brew of
uncertainty.

Magnitudes reported are never 2.63 +/- 0.05, they are 2.63 Otero "human
photometer" V.

I don't doubt that variations of 0.05V can be seen by visual observers
observing events in human timescales like EB eclipses. But night to night
variations of this amplitude reported by visual observers, or the majority
of CCD observers is suspect at best. Most amateur observers just don't have
the conditions or tools to do it at this level.

There are some really talented people doing TASS photometry, and they can't
do better than 0.03V after a few years of trying. ASAS3 data is reliable to
some degree to around 11.5V, but it is not the answer to southern all sky
photometry even to 13V.

I think most serious people agree mv transformations were a bad idea, based
on a faulty assumption. The BAAVSS is revising their charts based on this
system to more accurately reflect Johnson V. AAVSO has embarked on a path
towards the same goal. The main advantage here will be commingling visual
and CCD observations down the road. I have my doubts about trying to
transform historical AAVSO v mag estimates to Johnson V, because of the
incoherent state of the comp stars used in many cases.

This does not in any way lessen the degree of usefulness of the data. It
just means that there will be a "hiccup' in the data some day that will show
up when observations are based on a standard system. Eventually, the new
observations will outnumber the historical data, and this hiccup will be of
little consequence.

The bottom line is, whether you make visual or CCD observations you need to
exercise care and discretion in all you do to report the best estimate of
the magnitudes of the stars you observe. Let the people who analyze the data
make decisions about the accuracy and usefulness based on their needs and
expectations.

For those of you who are just getting started, do not despair. This _is_
actually fun to do, and your contributions are important.

Visual observers armed with good sequences can make estimates accurate to
0.1V and CCD observers should be able to match or better this accuracy given
time and training. Practice makes perfect.

Reminds me of our senior football squad. At the beginning of the season we
couldn't run off tackle to the right against the cheerleaders and make
positive yardage. By the time the conference championship rolled around we
were knocking the snot out of our opponents for long yardage using two or
three plays to the right.

We're all in this together. Go team!

Mike


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